August 13th, 2020
From the above analysis it is clear that both investments are a revenue positive action. However, some concerns may remain as to its pragmatism given that some potential problems of relying on the sun as a source of energy include seasonality, cloud cover and unpredictability, as well as nightly outages.
Though it may seem obvious there is a lack of sunlight during the evening, a problem that represents an important factor when considering solar energy, the alternative trough and solar tower CSP systems can utilize a hybridization system to combat their nighttime losses. Though less efficient, they utilize natural gas to keep their turbines moving. This is not too large a concern as it utilizes equipment that would otherwise be idle. There have been proposals for the incorporation of a hybrid fossil fuel system into the Dish Stirling system, but it would suffer from lower efficiencies and lose some of its zero emissions appeal. The notion of a mixed fuel system is a disadvantage for the Stirling, as it would need to be an integral part of its design. Regarding photovoltaic cells, although during the nighttime energy would not be produced, during the day the cells should overproduce. The net metering enables the photovoltaic cell to take advantage of electricity from the national grid during times of shortages, but due to its overproduction, stay grid neutral.
Additionally, both photovoltaic and dish Stirling technologies can fall victim to the unpredictability of cloud cover and weather. However, Dish Stirling units have the unique ability to ramp up to full output within seconds. This coupled with their bigger size and ability to track the sun, as explained by Leitner, allows for average output that tracks average radiation levels very well. Still, they suffer similar disadvantages to PV given cloud cover, but they are even worse off given their inability to utilize scattered light.
Soiree: RDI Consulting
FIGURE 1: Solar resource and electric load in the Mojave Desert.
Lastly, Leitner also explains that in the case of seasonality, clouds and haze reduce output by 20% in December and January. Likewise, shorter days and less direct exposure to sunlight are instrumental in the total output of the Stirling engines. The summer remains the strongest time period for sun collection. However, despite these short falls, solar energy closely matches the electricity consumption cycle of consumers. The energy production is closely correlated with load, increasing in summer when it is most required—air conditioning being a huge factor in this region. The result is almost simply a downward parabola, centered at June (See Figure 1).
Given our analysis in the previous sections, we conclude that the dish Stirling system is a superior option. We found that the dish Stirling consumer receives 6.37 dollars per watt while the home photovoltaic system consumer receives between 0.9 and 1.70 dollars per watt. Given these findings, we see that consumers are better off investing in a dish Stirling system. We see a significantly greater return on this technology compared to photovoltaic cells. This, at first, seems odd given that the expenses for
Stirling engines are much greater than that of photovoltaic cells. However, given that the power is ultimately sold back to consumers we were eventually able to realize a profit. Furthermore, once put in the scope of the real world the dish Stirling engine appears to gain more positive moment. For example the feasibility of a solar farm, given its size, can often be brought into question. However, gaining a set of several strong investors seems much more feasible than getting a town of 150,000 households to put photovoltaic cells on their roofs. It is far easier to do the former, which intuitively makes sense. Then there is the issue of efficiencies. We said earlier that the efficiency of photovoltaic cells is between 13-16% while that of the Stirling engine is 31.25%. Based on the higher efficiency of the Stirling engine, it is not difficult to believe that this technology will outperform its rival. However, one thing we did not take into consideration was potential subsidies or grants given for the construction of the farm. These have the potential to drive the costs down even further, increasing the watts per dollar generated, thus further widening the gap between Stirling engines and photovoltaic systems.
If our goal is a reduction of CO2 emissions, then clearly both methods of electric productions eliminate most CO2 emissions via reduction of fossil fuel-based production processes. Though there may be some CO2 emissions during the manufacturing processes these emissions are incredibly small in comparison to the reduction in fossil fuels used.
As to policy implications, given current levels of subsidies and tax credits we found that the home photovoltaic system actually returns a profit to the homeowner. This indicates that these subsidies are too high and the policy is lagging behind new advances in technology. This misal – location could instead be used in the subsidy of dish Stirling farms where it would receive a much higher return.
Stepping away from subsidy policy we must now also consider the environmental impact concerns of dish Stirling construction. The clearing of vast acreages of land poses serious concerns for wildlife habitats as well as water usage issues. One must remember that these farms are located in the Mojave Desert where water is scarce. The Mojave Desert Land Trust was set up to combat the development of these precious ecosystems of the west. This group has taken the initiative to purchase land an incorporate it into preserves, saving animals from possible extinction.
Ultimately, the positive aspects seem to outweigh any minor concerns or potential externalities. The solar farm, and even the less practical decentralized photovoltaic deployments, help alleviate CO2 emissions as well as maturing renewable energy technology. The major goal is to one day achieve fully sustainable systems, run completely on renewable energy, giving a cheap source of electricity and an all-important source of energy independence.